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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Monday, 19 December 22
ENERGY CRISIS FUELS COAL COMEBACK IN GERMANY - REUTERS
Coal has made a comeback in Germany this year, as Europe’s largest economy turns to the dirty fuel to power it through an energy crisis.
...
Thursday, 15 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The nex ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
STRONG COAL PRICES SUPPORT ROBUST EARNINGS AT INDONESIAN COAL MINERS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects cash flow generation at Indonesian coal miners to remain strong in 2023, based on its forecast for coal prices to remain high ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
BIMCO CII CLAUSE FINALLY RELEASED: DOES IT MAKE ANY SENSE OF CCI? - WFW
WHAT IS CII?
The new International Maritime Organisation’s (“IMO’s”) Carbon Intensity Indicator (“CII”) cer ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
COAL BASE RAMPS UP ENERGY SUPPLY FOR WINTER NEEDS - XINHUA
Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China’s leading coal production base, has kicked its production into high gear to meet heating needs as col ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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