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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Tuesday, 13 December 22
AUSTRALIA TO CAP PRICES OF COAL, GAS TO DRIVE DOWN ENERGY BILLS - REUTERS
Australia will cap coal and gas prices for a year in a bid to shave utility bills for households and businesses hit by soaring costs because of the ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA TO PREPAY $459 MLN DEBT AS RECORD COAL PRICES BOOST CASHFLOWS - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd. said on Friday it intended to prepay $459 million of its debt on or around Dec. 16, as elevated coal prices were ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
WHY COAL LEADS THE RISE IN COMMODITIES THIS YEAR - MARKETWATCH
This year marked a resurgence for coal, often known — and loathed — by environmentalists as the dirtiest energy source, with prices mor ...
Thursday, 08 December 22
BIMCO TO REVISE WAR RISK CLAUSES
Work to revise the BIMCO War Cancellation Clause 2004, the BIMCO War Risks Clause for Time Chartering 2013 (CONWARTIME 2013) and the BIMCO War Risk ...
Thursday, 08 December 22
COAL ROYALTY PAYMENTS BOOST AUSTRALIAN STATE'S BUDGET FORECAST - REUTERS
Australia’s Queensland state on Wednesday forecast a record surplus for the current financial year, largely driven by higher royalty payments ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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