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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Saturday, 25 March 23
COAL INDIA HAS STRONG CASE TO INCREASE PRICES, TALKS ON: CMD AGRAWAL - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India (CIL) Chairman and Managing Director Pramod Agrawal said on Monday there is a “strong case” for increasing coal prices, and ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
ASIAN CRUDE PALM OIL WATCH 1Q23 - FITCH RATINGS
Malaysian benchmark crude palm oil (CPO) spot prices have averaged around USD915 per tonne (t) so far in 1Q23, sharply lower than the average of ar ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORT INCREASED BY 21.0% YOY TO 388.4 MLN T IN 2022 - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In the f ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
GLOBAL LNG-ASIA SPOT PRICES SLIP AS WEAK NORTHERN DEMAND REMAINS - REUTERS
Asian spot prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) declined this week, falling to a 21-month low, as weak demand in the northeast Asia region continu ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
OIL PRICE FALL SPECULATIVE, TO HIT $140 BY YEAR-END -ANDURAND: REUTERS
The recent fall in oil prices due to banking jitters is speculative and oil will hit $140 a barrel by the end of the year, hedge fund manager Pierr ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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