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Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially thought to be an oil or gas crisis, turns out to be an unfolding diesel crisis, with scarce availability of the fuel and historically low inventories adding headwinds to an already tight market.
In the US, diesel inventories are hitting historically low levels. Albeit fuel shortages, especially on the East Coast, combined US exports of crude oil and products surged to 11.4m b/d in the week ending October 21st, according to EIA. But while the US government is concerned over the unfolding diesel crisis, it is draining the SPR which has zero impact on diesel production. Officials are concerned that the 1m-barrel reserve will not suffice to counter a severe disruption this winter and are mulling ways to bolster supplies. In the meantime, oil companies are facing pressure from the government to export less fuel and build domestic inventories, while Biden’s administration has not yet ruled out a possible curb on exports. US refineries’ crack margins from turning crude oil into diesel are skyrocketing. Meanwhile, diesel demand nationwide is showing signs of hitting the brakes, surging to its highest seasonal level since 2007, over the last month before dipping this past week. The fuel shortage, which is crucial for heating and trucking, will likely be exacerbated as colder weather forces consumers to increase consumption to heat up their homes.
In the meantime, two consecutive malfunctions in Europe’s biggest refinery, the Shell Pernis plant near Rotterdam, as well as refinery strikes in France have caused supply disruptions at a time when the continent can ill afford it, given the upcoming EU ban on purchases of refined petroleum from Russia that’s due to start in early February.
On the other hand, a bullish combination of recently granted fuel export quotas from the Chinese government to domestic refineries and the end of refinery maintenance work in some major Asian refineries are set to provide some relief to the current market tightness by lifting global refinery processing rates. More specifically, 290k b/d of refining capacity in South Korea will return from maintenance in November, while India’s planned maintenance procedures will resume by December. Meanwhile, China’s refiners have been utilizing the government’s export quotas and have been opting for higher prices overseas. Diesel output surged by 22% m/m to a historical high of 17m tons this month. This comes as a response to reviving diesel demand and collapsing jet fuel consumption. Chinese fuel exports are further underpinned by weak domestic demand. October loadings of clean fuels from Asia to the Americas surged to 715k tons in the week ending Oct. 31st, hitting a 3-year high. Looking forward, we expect that diesel cargoes from Asia will continue to flow toward the US East Coast, underpinned by current favorable market fundamentals.
Overall, while we should expect some support from Asian refiners to the US market, the EU’s looming sanctions on Russian oil products will once again drive the market on the edge, as Europe, which is still reliant on Russian diesel, will ultimately run short on the fuel and could possibly draw some cargoes from Asia, limiting thus supply for the US.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 20 August 22
KOSPO TO IMPORT 240000 MT OF MIN 4400 KCAL/KG NCV STEAM COAL FOR OCTOBER;LOADING FROM RUSSIAN PORTS NOT ALLOWED
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 240,000 MT of min 4,400kcal/kg to max. 4,999 kcal/kg NC ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
INDIAN COMPANIES SWAPPING DOLLAR FOR ASIAN CURRENCIES TO BUY RUSSIAN COAL - REUTERS
Indian companies are using Asian currencies more often to pay for Russian coal imports, according to customs documents and industry sources, avoidi ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
LNG: MAJOR INVESTMENT AND EXPANSION PHASE, DOUBLING OF LIQUEFACTION CAPACITY BY 2028 PROJECTED - CLARKSONS
Clarksons Research have released the latest version of their long standing annual review, LNG Trade & Transport, on to Shipping Intelligence Ne ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
UNAFFORDABLE LNG PRICES UNDERMINE RAPID DEMAND GROWTH FORECASTS IN KEY ASIAN MARKETS - IEEFA
Sustained high prices may accelerate downward pressures on Asian LNG demand, clouding long-term industry outlooks
The global liquefi ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
CHINA'S COAL-RICH SHANXI MAKES STRIDES IN HIGH-QUALITY DEVELOPMENT - XINHUA
Shanxi, a major coal-producing province in north China, has made continuous advances in high-quality development over the past decade, according to ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
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