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Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
 The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation facilities, such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium, Fitch Ratings says. This will require a vast supply response in the next two decades and investments from miners, although we view the repositioning of their businesses towards a higher share of energy-transition metals in revenue and cash flows as credit positive.
EVs and renewable generation are more metal-intensive than fossil fuel-based alternatives. This will support metals demand as the world transitions towards a carbon-free economy, leading to a six-fold increase in demand for minerals by 2050 compared to current levels, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Growth rates for each metal will vary and will depend on technologies chosen for batteries and power generation and environmental policies. We anticipate demand for energy-transition metals to peak by the 2040s, when the bulk of low-emission infrastructure will have been built.
However, rapid demand growth may not necessarily be met with an equivalent supply-side response. We estimate the level of available resources to be sufficient, but mineral resources are often geographically concentrated and their extraction may be subject to challenges. Mining projects have long lead times and require large investments. Lead times from resource discovery to production average 17 years, including 12.5 years from discovery to feasibility and 4.5 years for planning and construction, according to the IEA. Copper, cobalt and nickel projects have the longest lead times. By comparison, lithium deposits have shorter lead times, of about seven years.
CRU estimates that most markets for energy-transition metals will remain balanced over the medium term as committed and probable projects come online. Supply gaps might emerge after 2025, as the pipeline of new projects is not yet synchronised with the expected rise in demand created by the energy transition.
The commissioning of new projects will depend, along with the estimates of demand and return on investments, on the availability of funds for large capex projects, either internally generated or borrowed. The financial discipline of most miners has improved over the past decade, providing sufficient financial headroom for future investments. However, a prolonged period of low commodity prices might result in delayed investment decisions.
We view the exposure to energy-transition metals among Fitch-rated miners as credit positive. Several mining companies’ credit profiles, including that of Anglo American, have benefited from a growing share of these metals.
However, market participants now expect miners to deliver increasing volumes of metals required for the energy transition without compromising ESG standards. The key challenge is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the metal value chain. Emissions intensity of cobalt, aluminium and nickel mining and processing is high, so skyrocketing demand may result in rising net carbon footprints.
Electricity generation is the largest source of emissions in metals production, and therefore decarbonisation of power sources through shifting from coal to renewables will help reduce emissions. Changes in production technologies and increased metal recycling will cut carbon intensity further.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Friday, 02 December 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TOWARD US$ 281.48 A TON AS DEMAND DROPS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: The cost of coal is falling so fast that it is beginning to put real money back in the pockets of end-users.
Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
INDONESIA’S BUMI RESOURCES TARGETS 2023 COAL OUTPUT OF 80 MLN TONNES - REUTERS
Indonesian coal miner PT Bumi Resources Tbk BUMI.JKis eyeing a 10% increase in output to 80 million tonnes next year amid expectations for more fav ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
TANKERS: LONGER HAULS TO SUPPORT CONTINUED STRENGTH - BIMCO
Highlights
A rebound in the dirty tanker trade has led the Baltic Exchange Dirty Index (BDTI) to increase by 64% since our last report from mid ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Shipping, although a conservative and innovation adverse industry, is currently in a transition period of digital transformation. According to a su ...
Tuesday, 29 November 22
INDIA TO RECEIVE FIRST LNG CARGO FROM INDONESIA’S TANGGUH LNG - REUTERS
India will receive its first cargo from Indonesia’s Tangguh liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant at the Dahej terminal on Monday, according to a ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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