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Tuesday, 04 October 22
A REMARKABLE SHIFT IN FORTUNES HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE CRUDE OIL TANKER MARKETS - ALLIED SHIPPING
 A remarkable shift in fortunes has been noted in the crude oil tanker markets over the past month, yet despite these shifts being seemingly in their infancy, we may well be seeing moves that could make these extremely favorable tailwinds be close to having run their course, says Allied Shipping Research in its latest report.
George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping Research, this weekend OPEC+ made some fairly controversial announcements with regards to its next monthly meeting which will take place this Wednesday. OPEC announced that it would discuss a plan to introduce substantial cuts in production of between 0.5 and 1.0 mbpd. This would make it by far the largest production cut since April 2020, when oil demand collapsed during the early part of the coronavirus pandemic. The reasoning behind this is claimed to be a preemptive effort to prop up prices before any potential global economic slowdown has its effects on crude oil consumption growth, but to also retain ample spare production capacity in case Russian output were to fall sharply during the next few months due to the increasing western sanctions coming into force.
Allied Shipping report further noted that, obviously in the case of the former, to most, it sounds more of a case of self-fulfilling prophecy, given that one of the biggest risks that global economic growth faces right now is the extensively high energy costs being faced. Beyond this, what struck most people as a major surprise is that this decision went counter to what we had been seeing during the summer months, where pressure from the US had pushed the OPEC+ group to accelerate production increases. It also gives Russia considerable breathing room, as higher oil prices would help prop up its oil revenues which have been facing considerable pressure of late as part of the large discounts it has had to offer and the considerable strengthening of the Ruble.
The weekly report further noted that, the prime mover in the tanker freight market, over the course of these past few months, has been an increase in consumption levels back to pre-pandemic levels. On top of this, we have also seen a considerable positive gain from increasing ton-miles, as supply chain disruptions from Russian sanctions caused a shift towards farther away sourcing. Given the inelastic nature of crude oil demand, the overall effect of the above would be hard to pinpoint and would likely be relatively minimal.
However, according to George Lazaridis, under the current global economic conditions and given how difficult the winter months were expected to be even before this announcement, an even further spike in crude oil prices compared to what was previously expected could further smother economic activity and in turn dampen the ability of most major economies (and in turn consumers) from keeping their consumption levels on par with the trends noted over the past few months.
Furthermore, it sets for an even more ominous horizon for crude oil markets, as even before this announcement by OPEC+, the high prices of crude had already helped fuel a major shift towards alternative energy sources. There was already talk in the market that these currently high energy prices had helped bring the energy transition agenda forward by 4 to 5 years. At even higher crude oil prices, an investment in its alternatives becomes ever increasingly more viable and further boosts its potential return on investment.
For the time being it looks as though the tanker market will just have to make the most of what it has been given and hope that things don’t turn sour too quickly. We must not forget that any decision to change production levels by OPEC+ takes a fair amount of time before it is fully implemented. At the same time given the geopolitical nature of all this, it is too early to tell if any and all of these scenarios follow through.
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Friday, 02 September 22
ABM INVESTAMA BUYS 30% GEMS SHARES FOR US$ 420 MILLION
PT ABM Investama Tbk through its indirect subsidiary, bought a 30% stake in the PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk for US$ 420 million or around Rp 6.2 tri ...
Wednesday, 31 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Scorching temperatures and extremely dry conditions during the Northern hemisphere summer have been drying crops. Yield prospects have subsided in ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
HIGH COAL PRICES COULD BOOST INDONESIA'S ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Global coal prices have reached an all-time high as countries stop purchasing Russian coal amidst the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Indonesian coal comp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
A COMBINED US$6.8-BILLION CASH BALANCE OF INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES COULD PROVIDE FOR TIMELY INVESTMENTS IN GREEN TRANSITION - IEEFA
A combined US$6.8-billion cash balance of Indonesian coal companies could provide for timely investments in green transition
The opp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
SHIPPING INDUSTRY TO REMOVE THE INDIAN OCEAN HIGH RISK AREA - BIMCO
After more than a decade of effective threat-reducing counter-piracy operations the shipping industry has removed the ‘Indian Ocean High Risk ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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