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Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal imports as a direct reaction to the threat of a reduction in gas supply from Russia. The ban comes at a time when coal trade is already tight. As a result, thermal coal prices have been surging on the back of tight supply and geopolitical tensions.
Considering that the EU was importing approximately 35-40mn tonnes/year from Russia, these cargoes need to be supplied from elsewhere, namely US, Australia, South Africa, and Colombia. US accounts for the largest exporter of thermal coal to Europe at the moment, with exports surging to 11.2mn tonnes during 1H22, noting a 91.6% y-o-y increase. Amid intensified sanctions, US Government is exerting pressure on miners to increase production, therefore, trade flows from US to EU ports (mainly Netherlands and Germany) are expected to increase within 2H22.
High-quality Australian coal, on the other hand, is also benefiting from the surging demand in the EU. Imports from Australia surged to 10.2mn tonnes, marking a 27.8% y-o-y increase. For instance, thermal coal exports from Australia's Gladstone port in Queensland hit an 11-month high in June. Gladstone shipped 193,000 tonnes to the Netherlands, 76,400 tonnes to Poland, and 40,000 tonnes to Turkey. Trade flows from Australia, however, did not provide adequate relief as part of Australia’s production tied to long-term contracts.
Volumes from Colombia flowing to Europe recently are on an uptick. Although EU’s appetite for Colombian coal has declined during the past years, the country’s recovered production provided a steady flow of imports amid the current energy crunch, while more shipments are expected during the following months.
Lastly, South African coal has seen its exports recovering y-o-y amid the EU’s increased demand. However, the country’s issues with violence waves, logistics issues, and Covid-induced and weather-related disruptions in production have resulted in unpredictable trade flows. Given that the nation will be able to hold its export momentum, more shipments could be anticipated toward the EU during Q3.
In the meantime, new origins are emerging, like Tanzania, Kazakhstan, and Nigeria, which are being positively considered as a backup measure. EU buyers have started exploring them as a viable plan of action due to competitive prices and quality. Over the past 2 months, a few shipments have been imported to the EU from Tanzania and Kazakhstan at competitive prices compared to the US and South African coal. If imports increase, they will provide relief to thermal coal prices.
Thermal coal is now traded at the range of $400/mt compared to $130/mt the year before, marking a 300% y-o-y increase. With supply being already tight and demand rising from the EU, a supply/demand imbalance will continue to add pressure on thermal coal prices. Given the EU will manage to establish alternative coal resources, prices may soften in the medium term.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 06 June 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO INVITED COAL BIDS FOR MIN 5600 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 270,000 Tons (MT) min. 5600 NCV co ...
Friday, 05 June 20
COAL INDIA ESTIMATES PRODUCTION GROWTH BY OVERBURDEN REMOVAL - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
PSU miner Coal India (CIL) has now limited mining only to Overburden Removal (OBR) with falling demand of coal. The mining behemoth is now keeping ...
Friday, 05 June 20
U.S. SANCTIONS COMPLIANCE GUIDANCE RELEASED FOR THE GLOBAL MARITIME, ENERGY AND METALS SECTORS - AKIN GUMP
Key Points
On May 14, 2020, OFAC, the Department of State and the U.S. Coast Guard jointly released guidance for persons involved in the ma ...
Friday, 05 June 20
IN THE FIRST 5 MONTHS OF 2020 AUSTRALIA SHIPPED 6.8 MLN TONNES TO VIETNAM - BANCHERO COSTA
In the first 5 months of 2020, global seaborne coal trade declined by as much as -8% year-on-year, according to vessel tracking data from Ref ...
Thursday, 04 June 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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