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Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
 Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions due to thermal coal supply constraints in China.
Chinese regulations further tightening the mine safety requirements implemented earlier this year have reduced thermal coal production in the country despite strong demand driven by the economic recovery. Thermal power generation increased in China in January to July by 13.2% yoy, while non-power coal consumption increased by 7.7% yoy, causing rapid increases in coal prices. Coal inventories have been declining, even though import volumes increased in June and July.
The government has launched some mitigating actions, including re-opening open-pit mines capable of producing 67 million tonnes of coal per year, approving new production capacities and requesting mines increase production volumes. These measures, and seasonally weaker demand in September and October, should help moderate prices from the current high levels; however, we expect average domestic prices for 2021 to be higher than in our previous price deck.
Our increased price assumptions for the Chinese benchmark in 2022 and thereafter reflect structurally tighter supply, lower incentives to invest in new coal mines and an emerging trend of local governments and mining companies closing older coal mines in order to meet carbon-reduction targets. Furthermore, the central government has demonstrated its tolerance of high coal prices, while local governments in coal-producing regions are motivated to keep supply relatively tight.
The stronger domestic prices in China have also affected seaborne prices, despite China’s ban on coal imports from Australia. Trade flows have adjusted as a result, with China now importing more coal from Russia, Indonesia and other countries, with Australia now exporting more to India and Korea. We therefore have increased our 2021–2023 Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg assumptions. We have kept longer-term price assumptions for the Australian benchmark unchanged. We anticipate that pressures to reduce coal power generation in many key markets consuming Australian coal will eventually lessen coal demand and help normalise the seaborne prices.
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Saturday, 16 October 21
DESPITE HIGHER COAL PRICES, U.S. COAL RECOVERY LOOKS WEAK BY MOST MEASURES - IEEFA
U.S. coal sector is locked into a long-term sectoral decline
Coal prices have surged to the highest level in years in the U.S., and have soare ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
COAL IS 'KING' AS GAS PRICES SOAR, TOTAL CEO SAYS - AND IT’S BACKFIRING ON CLEANER ENERGY GOALS - CNBC
Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grap ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
VIETNAM'S COAL-FIRED POWER MAY DOUBLE BY 2030 UNDER DRAFT ENERGY PLAN - REUTERS
Vietnam may double the amount of coal-fired electric generation it installs by 2030 under a draft power development plan submitted to the prime min ...
Friday, 15 October 21
AUSTRALIA'S WHITEHAVEN EXPECTS TO BE DEBT-FREE NEXT YEAR AS COAL PRICES SOAR - REUTERS
Australia’s Whitehaven Coal WHC.AX said on Thursday it expects to be debt-free by early 2022, as thermal coal prices surge to record highs on ...
Friday, 15 October 21
WINTER CHILL KEEPS CHINA'S COAL PRICES HIGH, POWER CRUNCH STOKES INFLATION - REUTERS
China coal prices held near record highs on Thursday as cold weather swept into the country’s north and power plants stocked up on the fuel t ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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