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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 04 June 21
NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS IN INDIA WILL BE ECONOMICALLY UNVIABLE - IEEFA
Coal capacity additions face major stranded asset risk
Much of India’s 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power capacity currently under co ...
Thursday, 03 June 21
JUNE HBA IS HITTING ABOVE $100 AND SETTLED AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2020
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for June 2021 settles at US$ 100.33 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pr ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
INDONESIA RV WAS DOWN TO LOW/MID $20,000S DAY FOR PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX WITH DELIVERY S CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
Panamax
A softening week in the Pacific basin with rates under a downward pressure mainly caused by the oversupply of tonnage in the area, said ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
EUROPEAN UNION'S IRON ORE IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union (27) is currently the fourth largest importer of iron ore in the world, after China, Japan, and South Korea.
Euro ...
Tuesday, 01 June 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.02 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 160.06 points Monday, down 0.02 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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