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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 01 June 21
BUMA PRODUCED 11.4 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 4Q 2020, 5% LOWER COMPARED TO 12.2 MILLION TONNES IN 4Q 2019
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. presents its newsletter with consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owne ...
Sunday, 30 May 21
PAKISTAN IS PLANNING TO END COAL IMPORTS, WORSENING OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH AFRICAN COAL - IEEFA
The growing and irreversible risks being faced by South African coal exporters
As Thungela Resources’ CEO attempts to talk up ...
Sunday, 30 May 21
G7 COAL FINANCE EXIT AND WHY IT MATTERS FOR INDIA - IEEFA
While India doesn’t rely on export credit finance to fund new coal plants, there are material implications
The commitment by the Group o ...
Saturday, 29 May 21
SKULD’S IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP EXPERIENCE
More than a year has passed since the International Maritime Organization (IMO) mandate for the 0.50% sulphur cap for marine fuel (MARPOL Annex VI) ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.56 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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