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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 30 June 21
BUMA SIGNED MINING AGREEMENT WITH ADARO
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA"), has entered into an agreement for the p ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The strong freight performance since the beginning of year has continued for the dry bulk market with earnings being at the highest level in over a ...
Monday, 28 June 21
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA THREATENS TO REVOKE 2,350 MINING BUSINESS PERMITS
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources said that the revocation of mining business permits was in accordance with President Jokowi's inst ...
Sunday, 27 June 21
INDONESIA'S STATE-OWNED UTILITY PLN'S 2060 NET ZERO AMBITION NOT WITHOUT FLAWS AND GAPS - IEEFA
Indonesia on the right emissions reduction pathway but same old coal stories persist
Recent announcements by Indonesia’s state-owned uti ...
Saturday, 26 June 21
COAL PRICES HIT DECADE HIGH DESPITE EFFORTS TO WEAN THE WORLD OFF CARBON - WSJ
Rebounding electricity usage and scanty rainfall in China have added fuel to the rally
Coal prices have climbed to their highest lev ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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