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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 01 June 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.02 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 160.06 points Monday, down 0.02 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Tuesday, 01 June 21
BUMA PRODUCED 11.4 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 4Q 2020, 5% LOWER COMPARED TO 12.2 MILLION TONNES IN 4Q 2019
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. presents its newsletter with consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owne ...
Sunday, 30 May 21
PAKISTAN IS PLANNING TO END COAL IMPORTS, WORSENING OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH AFRICAN COAL - IEEFA
The growing and irreversible risks being faced by South African coal exporters
As Thungela Resources’ CEO attempts to talk up ...
Sunday, 30 May 21
G7 COAL FINANCE EXIT AND WHY IT MATTERS FOR INDIA - IEEFA
While India doesn’t rely on export credit finance to fund new coal plants, there are material implications
The commitment by the Group o ...
Saturday, 29 May 21
SKULD’S IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP EXPERIENCE
More than a year has passed since the International Maritime Organization (IMO) mandate for the 0.50% sulphur cap for marine fuel (MARPOL Annex VI) ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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