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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 27 May 21
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.56 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS; THERMAL OUTPUT STRONG - FITCH RATINGS
Rising Consumption: Total power consumption rose by 21.2% yoy to 1,921.9GWh in 1Q21 due to the fast recovery of China’s economy, after a drop ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA'S POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS; RENEWABLES TO DRIVE DEVELOPMENT - FITCH RATINGS
China's power consumption exceeded the pre-Covid-19 levels in 1Q21 due to the country's fast economic recovery, with strong output from the ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR MAY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 89.74 PER TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for May 2021 settles at US$ 89.74 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pric ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of un ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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