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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 21 June 18
CHINESE REDUCED COAL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS - CAIXIN GLOBAL
Caixin Global reported that the Chinese government has reduced restrictions on coal imports at the nation’s major ports in response to concer ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
INDIAN GOVERNMENT ADMITS COAL SHORTAGE, ASKS DISCOMS TO IMPORT - TIMES OF INDIA
Times of India reported that the power ministry has advised all state governments and private power distribution companies to import coal as Coal I ...
Tuesday, 19 June 18
WCA RESPONDS TO BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2018
Responding to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2018, Benjamin Sporton, Chief Executive of the World Coal Association (WCA) said, &ldqu ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 2% TO 756 MILLION SHORT TONS MMST IN 2018 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to decline by 2% to 756 million short tons (MMst) in 2018.
According to EIA's Short-Term Ener ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2018 marks quite a few milestones for Greek Shipping. No need to detail again the greatness of Greek Shipping or the singular position that Greek s ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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