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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 June 18
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRICES HIT 6-YEAR HIGH AS ASIA DEMAND SPIKES - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have risen to their highest level since 2012 as hot weather across North Asia spurs buying ahead of the peak summer ...
Monday, 11 June 18
ANALYSING A NEW AGE OF AUTONOMOUS VESSELS - IMO
The International Maritime Organization answers the questions of Government Europa on how the next generation of autonomous vessels can be regulate ...
Friday, 08 June 18
AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES SURGE AS ASIA DEMAND HEATS UP - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit their highest level since late 2016 as the market heats up on strong demand across North Asia and China in ...
Wednesday, 06 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
As observed last month the price of oil hit its highest level since November 2014 reaching $80 per barrel. Global oil demand growth for 2018 was sl ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
SOUTH KOREA'S SULPHUR CAP ALTERS ASIAN COAL MARKET DYNAMICS: RUSSELL
South Korea’s imposition of a strict sulphur cap on its imported coal is likely to cause ripples across Asia’s markets for the pollutin ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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