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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 29 June 18
THE LBH GROUP AND RHENUS PLAN TO ESTABLISH A JOINT COMPANY
Press Release: The port services provider, the LBH Group, and the logistics specialist Rhenus, are planning to cooperate closely in the European in ...
Friday, 29 June 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO / CHINA COAL ROUNDS PAYING AROUND USD HIGH 11000 - FEARNLYS
Capesize
Its been an interesting week with a strong demand for ships out of Brazil, making C3 rates remain around USD 19 pmt said Fearnlys in i ...
Friday, 29 June 18
JAPAN'S TOHOKU ELEC, GLENCORE ABANDON APRIL-MARCH COAL CONTRACT TALKS - REUTERS
Japan’s Tohoku Electric Power Co Inc and Glencore Plc have abandoned talks on annual thermal coal supplies after failing to reach an agreemen ...
Wednesday, 27 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
After the abolishment of the trade embargo against Iran, there was a lot of optimism from the country’s side, as after quite some time a numb ...
Tuesday, 26 June 18
"ALWAYS ACCESSIBLE": ARRIVAL, DEPARTURE OR BOTH? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
An “always accessible” berth warranty is often used by an owner to transfer the risk of delays in berthing to ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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