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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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