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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 01 January 12
IS INDIA FOLLOWING INDONESIA TO STANDARDIZE COAL PRICES TO GET MAXIMUM BENEFITS?
COALspot.com - Coal India limited, an Indian state owned and world largest coal producer has introduced gross calorific value (GCV) based pricing me ...
Saturday, 31 December 11
GLOBALCOAL NEWC INDEX SURGED 2.32 PERCENT
COALspot.com - globalCOAL index in Newcastle Port, benchmark for Asian market, ended substantially higher, surged 2.32 percent to US$115.47 per ...
Saturday, 31 December 11
BORNEO LUMBUNG TO BUY BUMI STAKE, SWAP CEO - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported yesterday, shareholders of Indonesian coking coal miner Borneo Lumbun ...
Friday, 30 December 11
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD ISSUE PERMITS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, business associations from both the palm oil and mining sectors have suggested that the central government should re ...
Thursday, 29 December 11
NEW VESSELS DELIVERED ARE FLOODING THE OCEANS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As expected 2011 has been the year that newbuilding deliveries peaked and kept "flooding" the market, thus supressing freight rates and er ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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