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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 January 12
NEWBUILDING ORDERS PICKED UP IN 2011, BUT 2012 EXPECTED TO BE A DIFFERENT STORY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) starting the year on a sour note, losing 114 points and ending yesterday’s session, the first of the new year, ...
Wednesday, 04 January 12
MAHAGENCO TO IMPORT LOW MOISTURE COAL
COALspot.com - Maharashtra State Power Generation Co. Ltd. is the state power generation utility owned by Government of Maharashtra, intends to proc ...
Tuesday, 03 January 12
INDONESIA COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL AGAIN
COALspot.com - Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has sets the January 2012 coal reference price at US$ 109.29 per ton or US$ 3.3 ...
Tuesday, 03 January 12
WHICH WAY WILL THE DRY BULK MARKET HEAD ON FIRST WEEK OF THE YEAR? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Dry bulk ship owners will be wondering which way will the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), the industry’s benchmark, will head during the first days of ...
Monday, 02 January 12
THE PROMISE OF INDIA: A BRIEF INTERRUPTION? - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Future growth in Indian seaborne coal imports has sometimes been considered as one of the largest potential upsides in the currently oversupplied dr ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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