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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 24 December 11
CHINAS LEVEL OF GROWTH TO DETERMINE COURSE OF DRY BULK MARKET IN 2012 SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal attempted to find a silver lining in the tough year that was 2011, as well as what one could expect from ...
Friday, 23 December 11
SPOT PACIFIC CAPESIZE VESSELS HAVE COMMANDED HIGH PREMIUMS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Rates in the Atlantic kept stable from last week, with a touch of negativity closer to the end. Less spot cargoes seen, and owners are ...
Friday, 23 December 11
CONTENTIOUS ISSUES IN CONTRACT RENEGOTIATION - THE JAKARTA POST
The government has been renegotiating mining contracts, especially those 30-40 years old, with almost all mining companies, including PT Freeport In ...
Friday, 23 December 11
LANCO JOINS HANDS WITH BUKIT ASAM FOR INDONESIAN POWER PROJECT
COALspot.com - PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam, Indonesia's state owned coal miner and Indian based Lanco Infratech Ltd plans to build steam power p ...
Thursday, 22 December 11
RI WILL NOT PLAY CATCH-UP WITH GLOBAL COAL DEMAND - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted in its Coal Market Report 2011 that over the next five years, gl ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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