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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 10 January 12
THE 4TH DEEPWATER ASIA CONGRESS 2012 WILL KICK OFF ON MAY 23 - 25
Press release - Based on the past three years’ success, SZ & W Group is excited to announce the 4th Deepwater Asia Congress will be held o ...
Monday, 09 January 12
2012: WHAT WILL IT BRING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A further increase in dry bulk demand could be the remedy for most of the industry's oversupply issues, together of course with the high level of s ...
Sunday, 08 January 12
ICICI OUTLOOK ON INDIAN POWER, MINING,CEMENT, AND SHIPPING SECTORS PERFORMANCE IN 2012
Broking firm, ICICIdirect (India) has come out with report on sectors outlook for 2012. IRIS has collated key highlights for each sector from ...
Sunday, 08 January 12
SUPRAMAX DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA FOR TRIPS VIA INDONESIA WERE REPORTED AROUND $ 7000 PER DAY - VISTAAR
Wish You a Very Happy and Prosperous New year 2012.
COALspot.com - The last report by us was on 16th Dec 2011 and because of holidays this would ...
Sunday, 08 January 12
THARPAK CONSORTIUM FORMED TO DEVELOP MEGA ENERGY COMPLEX IN SINDH PROVINCE, PAKISTAN
Press Release: On January 5th, TharPak, LLC met with officials of the Embassy of Pakistan in Washington DC to introduce and announce the formation o ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
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