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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 March 12
INDONESIA'S COAL SECTOR CAN BENEFIT FROM CLEARER REGULATIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says Indonesia's coal mining sector should continue to see strong growth prospects but can benefit from clearer and more predictable ...
Thursday, 08 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE RISE; CHINAS COAL IMPORTS COULD INCREASE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on rising back to healthier levels yesterday, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the industry’s benchmark, marking its 8 ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE GAINS FOR SECOND MONTH
COALspot.com - Indonesia raised the monthly coal reference price for sales in March by 1.15 percent, the second increase since February.
The Mini ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA TO LIMIT FOREIGN OWNERSHIP IN MINES TO 49 PERCENT WITHIN 10 YEARS OF PRODUCTION
COALspot.com - Foreign holders of mining licenses in Indonesia have to divert 51% of their stakes to Indonesian government or domestic entitie ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
ASSESS ASIAS POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPETITE FOR SHALE AT SHALE GAS SUMMIT
Press Release - Assess Asia’s Potential, Developments and Appetite for Shale at Shale Gas Summit on 23-24 Apr, 2012 in Beijing
China is rep ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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