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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 March 12
SOME RESOURCE TITANS NOT THRILLED WITH INDONESIAN EXPORT BAN - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, local representatives of major business associations in East Kalimantan have protested a government regulation that ...
Monday, 05 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
An air of optimism poured in the market this week for dry bulk shippers with the Baltic Dry Index recording daily gains during the end of February b ...
Sunday, 04 March 12
SE ASIA WAS FIRM FOR TRIPS TO INDIA AND CHINA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week saw another upward trend with all indices up and generally market was firm.
The BDI was up by 7.38 pct closing at 771 po ...
Friday, 02 March 12
DJMBP HAS ANNOUNCED SECOND BATCH OF CLEAR N CLEAN CERTIFIED MINERS
COALspot.com - The Directorate general of mineral & coal of Indonesia has announced second batch of companies who have passed IUP Clear and Clea ...
Thursday, 01 March 12
BUKIT ASAM TARGETS EUROPEAN INVESTORS
COALspot.com - PT. Bukit Asam (persero) Tbk, Indonesian state owned coal miner is planning to conduct road show in Europe next week to target at Eur ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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