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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 March 12
GLOBAL THERMAL TRADE FLOW CHANGES WILL ENSURE SECURITY OF THERMAL COAL SUPPLY, ALBEIT AT A HIGH PRICE - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie Says Global Thermal Trade Flow Changes Will Ensure Security of Thermal Coal Supply, Albeit At a High Price Seaborne thermal demand by ...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
COKAL TAKES ANOTHER STEP IN DEVELOPING INFRASTRUCTURE TO FACILITATE METALLURGICAL COAL PRODUCTION
Global coal group, Cokal Limited (ASX-CKA), has signed Memorandums of Understanding (MoU’s) to develop two river ports and two small scale coa ...
Tuesday, 13 March 12
CLARIFICATION OF GR 24 OF 2012 REQUIRING DIVESTMENT OF FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OVER TIME
ASX Announcement
Global metallurgical coal group, Cokal Limited (ASX-CKA), is responding to the recent announcement of the Indonesian Ministry of ...
Tuesday, 13 March 12
EUROPEAN COAL CONTANGO: FURTHER STEEPNESS REQUIRED TO MAKE LARGE SCALE PHYSICAL TIME SPREAD ARBITRAGE MORE ATTRACTIVE - MISWIN MAHESH, BARCLAYS CAPITAL
COALspot.com - "With the contango between the Y+1 and M+1 ARA delivered contract now averaging above the $14/t level, there is an increasing in ...
Monday, 12 March 12
DELTA DUNIA 1M OVERBURDEN DROPS 3.1% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Indonesia's second largest coal mining contractor PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (DOID) reported a 25 million bank ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
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