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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 April 12
BANGLADESH EYEING INDONESIA FOR COAL
COALspot.com - The high level executives of Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) of Bangladesh is visiting Ind ...
Monday, 02 April 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The first quarter of the New Year ended with the BDI standing 42% above from the 26 years’ bottom low of 662 points on February 1st, and a pos ...
Saturday, 31 March 12
THE BDI CONTINUED TO MOVE UPWARD - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to move upward and rose by 2.86 pct closing at 934 points.
The cape index was up by 3.14 pct closing at 1,412 po ...
Saturday, 31 March 12
SRI LANKA IMPORTS 152,555 MT OF INDONESIAN COAL IN FEBRUARY
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest coal exporter, shipped 27.126* million tons of coal in February 2012, compared to 28.21* million to ...
Friday, 30 March 12
RECOND NUMBERS SURROUNDING THE SUPRAMAX DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Last year proved to be both a record year in the number of deliveries of dry bulkers between 40,000dwt and 64,000dwt, as well as a record year in th ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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