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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 April 12
DRY BULK MARKET STILL SUBDUED, RECOVERY NOT YET SEEN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market entered the new week after the past days of easter holidays in western countries in a subdued mood. The industry’s benchma ...
Monday, 09 April 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The first week of April ended with the Baltic Dry Index falling below 950 points, before Catholic Easter, and capesizes showing a modest upturn with ...
Sunday, 08 April 12
CHARTER RATES COULD CONTINUE TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was almost at same levels closing slightly lower by 0.64 pct at 928 points.
The Cape index was up by 6.73 pct closing at ...
Friday, 06 April 12
INDONESIAN HBA FALL TO LOWEST LEVEL SINCE JANUARY 2011
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fall to lowest level since January 2011 this month. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales in April fal ...
Friday, 06 April 12
DRY BULK MARKET SWIFT TO HALT FALL ON RENEWED DEMAND FOR CAPESIZES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk managed to put a stop to the recent falls, which came as a result of a lacklustre demand for smaller vessel sizes. Although this trend ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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