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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 April 12
COAL EXPORT TAX: MATTER OF CONCERN FOR INDIA - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Since the issuance of Indonesian Mining law in 2009, miners have increased their activities in exploring , ex ...
Thursday, 05 April 12
AKR COAL FIRST EXPORT SHIPMENT OF COAL SEABORNE
PT Anugrah Karya Raya (AKR Coal) subsidiary of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk., Indonesia’s leading integrated supply chain solutions provider and larg ...
Thursday, 05 April 12
DRY BULK MARKET STALLS AS TREND IS REVERSED - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has halted its month-long rally, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) retreating yesterday for a second consecutive session. Industry ...
Wednesday, 04 April 12
OIL MAY JUMP TO $150PB IF IRAN ATTACKED: EXPERT - KUNA / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Prices of oil will not drop below level of $100 per barrel and may jump to $150 pb in the coming two months, according to the prominent Kuwaiti expe ...
Wednesday, 04 April 12
CHURCHILL MINING TO ACCELERATE INTERNATIONAL ARBITRATION AGAINST INDONESIA
Churchill Mining plc (AIM: CHL), advises that notations on the Indonesian Supreme Court's register of cases shows the Supreme Court has rejected th ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
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