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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 June 12
NO IMMEDIATE IMPACT ON ADARO'S RATING FROM BEP TRANSACTION - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has said that PT Adaro Indonesia's (Adaro, 'BB+'/ Stable) ratings are not immediately affected by its parent PT Adaro Energy Tbk's ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS FOR 10 STRAIGHT SESSION ON OVERSUPPLY PROBLEMS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A resurgence of oversupply, coupled with national holidays in various parts of the world has contributed to yet another fall of the dry bulk market ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
COAL EXPORT TAX NOT RATIONAL: MINISTER - THE JAKARTA POST
Trade Minister Gita Wirjawan has criticized as irrational the idea to restrict coal exports by imposing an export tax, According to The Jakarta post ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
BY 2022 PLN IS EXPECTED TO BURN AROUND 125 MILLION TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com - Indonesia's state owned electricity company's (PLN) coal consumption is expected to reach 125.7 million tons by 2012.
Nur Pamudj ...
Wednesday, 06 June 12
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT'S DECLARED COAL PRICES CONTINUING ITS DECLINE
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fell to lowest level since January 2011 in June 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales this month ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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