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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 June 12
BAHANA FORECASTS THE COAL PRICES WILL FALL FURTHER
COALspot.com - Growing US coal supplies + low shipping costs = Asia as target.
According to Irwan Budiarto analyst at Bahana Securities, US ...
Monday, 11 June 12
ASIAN COAL TRADING COMMUNITY EMBRACES API 5 AND API 8
Press Release - The Asian coal trading community is embracing the API 5 and API 8 indexes for its swap contracts.
The API 5 index represents 5,50 ...
Sunday, 10 June 12
FREIGHT MARKET EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK FOR NEXT FEW WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to fall this week and down by 2.99 pct closing at 877 points.
The Cape index also was down by 5.78 pct closing a ...
Friday, 08 June 12
ESSAR ENERGY RECEIVES FINAL APPROVAL FOR INDONESIAN COAL BLOCK
COALspot.com - Essar Energy plc, the India-focused integrated energy company, today announced that it has received final ‘Pinjam Pakai’ ...
Friday, 08 June 12
MINISTER DENIES COAL EXPORT TAX PLAN, ENDORSES RESTRICTIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta post, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik has denied that ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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