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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 June 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL CONTRACT SWAPS ARE UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for July deliveries seems to be under pressure this week.&nbs ...
Friday, 15 June 12
CAPESIZE - THE LEVELS THAT DID FIX ARE DOWN W-O-W LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Another slow-moving market with rates hovering at same level as last week. US Gulf positions fixed USD 25,000 for trips to Cont/Passero and S ...
Thursday, 14 June 12
SMALLER DRY BULK CARRIERS LIKELY TO FACE MORE CHALLENGES; DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SET FOR RECORD YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest update on the dry bulk markets, BIMCO said that China is partly “failing to deliver” on raw material imports that can affe ...
Wednesday, 13 June 12
LOW COAL PRICES COULD CHANGE SUPPLY SIDE DYNAMICS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that the weakness seen in thermal coal prices in recent months should reverse once demand from major importers recovers, alth ...
Tuesday, 12 June 12
ITACHA RESOURCES BUYS SARANA MARINE - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining company PT Itacha Resources, a joint venture between Anthoni Salim and Glenn Yusuf, announced that Itacha ...
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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