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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 25 October 21
A QUESTION OF POSSESSION - THE BALTIC EXCHANGE
Possession and tangibility are closely related concepts long established under English law. Yet a change to these concepts is around the corner. Th ...
Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA VOWS TO SEVERELY PUNISH MARKET VIOLATIONS AMID LOW COAL FUTURES PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Domestic coal futures had plunged for three consecutive trading days after the government vowed to crack down on soaring prices, and China’s ...
Monday, 25 October 21
FARMERS MAY JOIN THE COAL COMMODITY MARKET TO REDUCE RISKS - GLOBAL TIMES
A recent trip to by the Global Times to East China’s Shandong Province to get a glimpse of China’s coal supply chain revealed a surpris ...
Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA COAL PRICES MARK WORST WEEK SINCE MAY ON GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures plunged on Friday and turned in their worst week in five months, following Beijing’s strongest interventio ...
Friday, 22 October 21
THE BIG PICTURE: ENERGY MARKETS - BREAK WAVE ADVISORS
The shipping markets have been pulled further into wild markets of coal and other energy sources. Given how nebulous this sector is, it’s alw ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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