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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 28 October 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL FOR Q3'14 DELIVERY LOST ON D-D,W-W & M-M
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.22 percept M-M on Friday 25 October 2013. The CFR South China Co ...
Monday, 28 October 13
COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON D-D, W-W AND M-M
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery gained 0.46 percept month on month on Friday 25 October 2 ...
Saturday, 26 October 13
PANAMAX CHARTER RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA STAY FIRM - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market showed tendency of softness with Cape and Panamax futures and physical soft.
The BDI was down by 12 pct week end ...
Saturday, 26 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON RETREATING, BUT NEW BUILDING ORDERS KEEP ON PILING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market kept on retreating this week, with the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) falling to 1,708 points, down 78 on the ...
Friday, 25 October 13
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED TOTALLED 803.1 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 19.10 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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