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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 03 November 13
H2' 2014 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE ( SWAPS) SHOWS POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’2014 delivery gained 0.24 percept week on week on Friday 1 ...
Sunday, 03 November 13
THE CAPE SIZE INDEX FELL 13.61 PCT W-W
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to soften on the cape and panamax sectors , however the supramax and handy size remained fairly firm.
...
Saturday, 02 November 13
DRY BULK SHIPPERS AREN'T CELEBRATING, BUT THEIR SILENCE IS GOLDEN - MARKET REALIST
In October, performance for major dry bulk shipping companies was mixed. Companies like DryShips Inc. (DRYS) had pulled back more than Diana Shippin ...
Friday, 01 November 13
US'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 0.9 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 01 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET IN FIRST POSITIVE SIGN IN DAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Owners of dry bulk carriers are well aware of the rollercoaster ride that has been the market for their vessels over the past few years. This trend ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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