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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET BOUNCES BACK ON RENEWED DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market staged a mild comeback this week, as the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched forward step by step and bit b ...
Friday, 08 November 13
US'S OCTOBER COAL PRODUCTION INCREASED BY 1.78% M-M - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
FORMOSA PLASTICS SEEKS 80K MT OF 5850 GAR COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan's Formosa Plastics Group is inviting bids for 80,000 mt of bituminous coal for delivery in Nov - Dec'13 for its Chi ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME INCREASED; REVENUE DECREASED
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy, 4th largest coal producer in the world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter shipp ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY'S RISING WATER CHALLENGE - WOOD MACKENZIE
Water poses a variety of business risks for the energy industry, and could play an influential role in shaping the future energy supply mix, accordi ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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