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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 November 13
TAIWAN'S PLASTICS GROUP FORMOSA TO IMPORT 1.37 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 14
COALspot.com: Taiwan's Formosa Plastics Group is inviting bids for total 1.37 million mt of coal for 1Q’ 14 for its various plants in Taiwan, ...
Thursday, 14 November 13
KOMIPO TO BUY 270K MT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2' 14
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International Open Bidding for 140,000 Metric Tons (MT) of sub-bituminous coal ...
Thursday, 14 November 13
PANAMAX : MARKET SHOULD BE AROUND USD 11500 FOR 1 YEAR - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market has picked up this week with prompt ships able USG for November dates coming off and chrts need to pay up in order to cov ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
Y'14 SUB-BIT INDO COAL SWAP MOVING AT SNAIL-SPEED
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’2014 delivery gained 2.95 percept month on month on Friday ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
Q3' 14 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 PRICES
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery gained 0.55 percept W-W on Friday 8 November 2013. The CFR South China Co ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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