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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 November 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST ON WEEK; MARGINALLY GAINED ON DAY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.25 pmt month on month on Friday 15 Novemb ...
Sunday, 17 November 13
Q4' 14 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.43 PMT (4.34 %) HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 SWAP
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.05 percept d-d on Friday 15 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 16 November 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FIRM DUE TO STRONG COAL ACTIVITIES
COALspot.com: The Cape and Panamax index was down this week and pulling down the BDI by about 5 pct. BDI was closed at 1507 points on Friday 1 ...
Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchm ...
Friday, 15 November 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.59% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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