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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 December 13
PORT OF NEWCASTLE IN QUEENSLAND SHIPPED 1.22 MMT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 2, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.49 ...
Tuesday, 03 December 13
U.S PRODUCED 900.80 MMST YEAR-TO-DATE
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.7 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Monday, 02 December 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP DIFFERENCE BETWEEN Q1 AND Q3 DELIVERIES ARE VERY MARGINAL
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.67 pmt month on month on Friday 29 Novemb ...
Sunday, 01 December 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 AND Q3 DELIVERY SHOWS A DECLINE
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.63 percept d-d on Friday 29 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Sunday, 01 December 13
PANAMAX RATES HAVE REBOUNDED - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was quite firm last week with all the indices increased. Cape Index was gained highest this week which supports inc ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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