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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 26 November 13
EWP INVITES COAL BIDS FOR 2014 - 2018 DELIVERIES
COALspot.com: Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd (EWP) invited bids to supply 130,000MT of min 5,600kcal/kg (Sub)-bituminous Coal on NCV basis for March ...
Tuesday, 26 November 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS SLIP 22.62% W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended November 25, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2.26 ...
Monday, 25 November 13
THE SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP MOVEMENT IN YEAR 2014 IS STILL FAR FROM PROMISING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 2.54 pmt month on month on Friday 22 Novemb ...
Sunday, 24 November 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY PRICE SHOWS A NEGATIVE TREND WEEK ON WEEK AND FLAT ON D-D
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.13 percept d-d on Friday 22 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Sunday, 24 November 13
SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES REMAINED FIRM FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA AND CHINA - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market was fairly steady except for the Supramax in SE Asia region which continued to remain firm. The BDI was down by 1.5 ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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