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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 20 April 14
FREIGHT RATES END WEEK ON WEAK NOTE - VISTAAR
Wish you all Happy Easter.
The freight market continued to its downwards as BDI was fell 7.187 percent to 930 points week on week.
The ...
Friday, 18 April 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 1% TO 18.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 17 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET ON RETREAT MODE, WHILE NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY STALLS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept on retreating this week, a pattern which emerged since late March. Yesterday the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ended yet a ...
Wednesday, 16 April 14
INDONESIA'S FEBRUARY 2014 COAL EXPORT VOLUME FELL 2.41%
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world 4th largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.77* billio ...
Wednesday, 16 April 14
Q1 2014 : TERMS OF FREIGHT RATES THE PERFORMANCE IN THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS NOT MET THE HIGH EXPECTATIONS - INTERMODAL
This year the dates for the celebration of Easter will coincide for the Orthodox and the Catholic, so we are already seeing most people in the m ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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