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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 26 May 14
Q3 14 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS LOST 2.24% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.24 percent month on month and closed at US$ 73.88 per mt as on F ...
Monday, 26 May 14
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY RISES BY 78% IN DWT TONNAGE OVER THE FIRST 4 MONTHS OF THE YEARS, AS OWNERS INVEST$40.5 BN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have plunged into newbuilding orders during the first four months of the year, as overall newbuilding business ended for the first four ...
Sunday, 25 May 14
FREIGHT RATES FROM SOUTH KALIMANTAN TO EAST COAST INDIAN PORTS WERE ASSESSED AT $9.50/MT
COALspot.com: The BDI was closed at 964 points down by 6.13 pct week on week. The Cape Index was lost 172 points or 11.24% week on week and closing ...
Saturday, 24 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S RECOVERY IS JUST AROUND THE CORNER SAYS SHIPOWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the weaker than expected market sentiment in the dry bulk market over the course of the past few months, analysts and shipowners alike appe ...
Friday, 23 May 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIPS 1.8% WEEK ENDED MAY 17, 2014
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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