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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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