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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
Thursday, 03 February 22
COAL SHORTAGE NOW AT ALARMING LEVELS, SAY ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS - IANS
With no relief in sight despite coal stocks running critically low and production disruptions looming across the Indian aluminium sector, the Alumi ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
HIGH COKING COAL PRICES PROVIDE GLIMPSE INTO STEELMAKING'S FUTURE - MCKINSEY
Last year was a volatile one in global commodity markets. Demand for coking coal, an essential raw material in the production of steel, was extreme ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
INDONESIA'S RESTRICTIONS ON COMMODITIES RATTLE MARKETS, MORE MOVES LIKELY - REUTERS
In just the first month of this year, Indonesian policymakers have rattled global markets with restrictions on some of its biggest commodities expo ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
CHINA'S TOP COAL PRODUCER FORECASTS 28 PCT PROFIT GROWTH IN 2021 - XINHUA
China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, one of the country’s biggest coal producers, said its net profits are expected to jump by 28 percent in ...
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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