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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
CHINESE COAL JUMPS OVER 6% ON PRE-HOLIDAY SUPPLY WORRY - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures soared more than 6% on Wednesday, hitting a level last seen in late November as investors grew concerned over ti ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
VIETNAM: COAL SECTOR SEES POSITIVE PROSPECT IN 2022 - VNA
With many signs of rising demand for coal in various economic sectors in 2022, the Vietnam National Coal – Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomi ...
Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels ...
Sunday, 09 January 22
INDONESIA MINISTER SAYS 'EMERGENCY OVER' ON COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH - REUTERS
Indonesia’s power emergency which has triggered a coal export ban is over but the government will still continue to discuss policies in this ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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