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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 12 June 14
CONSOLIDATION IS THE ' NAME OF THE GAME' WHEN IT COMES TO SHIPYARDS ACROSS ASIA - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Intense competition, a swelling of new greenfield shipyards over the past few years mainly in China, especially prior to the 2008 global financial ...
Wednesday, 11 June 14
INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME AND REVENUE SLIPS 2.75% AND 6.73% RESPECTIVELY IN APRIL
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.8* b ...
Wednesday, 11 June 14
BPI TOUCHING A NEW LOW FOR THE YEAR
The Dry Bulk market closed off the week positively, on the back of firming Capesize rates, while the market overall continues to face a very challe ...
Monday, 09 June 14
GOVT GETS TOUGH ON ILLEGAL MINING, SUSPENDS LICENSES - THE JAKARTA POST
The government has temporarily suspended the licenses of 62 mineral and coal transportation companies as part of its efforts to curb illegal mining ...
Monday, 09 June 14
INDO SUB-BIT COAL SWAPS FOR Q3,Q4 OF 2014 AND Q1 2015: LOST ON DAY AND MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 continue last week’s trend or lost on day, week and on month according to Asia ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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