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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 18 June 14
CHINESE STEEL PRODUCTION SETS RECORD DURING FIRST TEN DAYS OF JUNE - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
Recently released data shows that average daily crude steel production at China's key steel mills hit a record high of 1.833 million tons durin ...
Wednesday, 18 June 14
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Back in January the expectations for Q3 and Q4 were more than great. Talks and claims for a rising BDI and a healthy market were coming from everyw ...
Tuesday, 17 June 14
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES TO RISE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF 2014, AS CHINA IS EXPECTED TO START IMPORTING MORE IRON ORE FROM BRAZIL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its latest analysis of the dry bulk market, BIMCO said that it doesn’t expect freight rates to react significantly to increased demand bef ...
Monday, 16 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS FOR Q3 DELIVERY FALL 2.34 % MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 16 June 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL CONTINUES THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 4.34 percent month on month and closed at US$ 71.05 per mt a ...
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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