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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 09 June 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP Q3 14 DELIVERIES LOST 4.61% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 4.61 percent month on month and closed at US$ 71.62 per mt a ...
Sunday, 08 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET RATES FOR PANAMXES TO REMAIN VOLATILE; NO IMPROVEMENTS SEEN OVER THE WEEK
COALspot.com: Cape index increase pushes BDI index to 989 points week on week. The BDI firmed up by 5.88 pct and closed at 989 points week ended 6 ...
Saturday, 07 June 14
EVERYTHING CHANGES, AND NOTHING ABIDES - HERACLITUS
A couple of weeks ago, and while everyone was focusing on the struggling freight market, Russia and China made history by signing a three-decade lo ...
Saturday, 07 June 14
FIRST BITE AT ANTI-CORRUPTION CLAUSE - BIMCO
In recent years a number of countries have introduced anti-corruption legislation which, unfortunately, fails to recognise the practical implicatio ...
Saturday, 07 June 14
U.S. MONTHLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN MAY 2014
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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