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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 18 July 14
3RD CHINA INTERNATIONAL SHALE GAS SUMMIT
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Thursday, 17 July 14
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With thermal coal import prices (and also shipping rates) very low at present, India's government would be very wise to take advantage of curre ...
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INDIA BUDGET HAS LIMITED SHORT TERM IMPACT ON POWER SECTOR - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says that the measures announced relating to India's electricity sector in the budget for FY2015 are directionally correct but in ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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