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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered ab ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
INDONESIAN ELECTION RESULT ENCOURAGING FOR FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN ENERGY AND MINING SECTORS - WOOD MACKENZIE
Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla has been announced as the official winner of Indonesia's presidential election. Joko Widodo, or Jokowi, is viewed as a ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
THE CURRENT COAL PRICES ARE UNPROFITABLE FOR MINERS; COAL PRICES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE - FITCH
COALspot.com: The Fitch Ratings expect the benchmark Newcastle coal prices (currently at about USD70/MT) to gradually increase.
Fitch's la ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3' 14 DOWN 5.21%; Q4' 14 DOWN 3.56%; Q1' 15 DOWN 4.75% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 flat on day, weak week on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap' ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
INDONESIA'S MINERAL EXPORT BAN: CHINA UNDER PRESSURE? - CLARKSONS
In January 2014, Indonesia introduced new regulations on exports of unprocessed minerals. Exports of some minerals have been heavily taxed, whilst ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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