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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 July 14
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Wake me up when September ends - Theodore Ntalakos
Since last September most thought that the worst was behind us. It looks like the market de ...
Tuesday, 15 July 14
INDONESIA'S TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION REACHED ANOTHER HIGH DURING THE FIRST SIX MONTHS; GOVERNMENT EXPECTED TO RAISE ROYALTIES
COALspot.com: Indonesia's total coal production reached 213 million tons during January through June, up by 7.6 percent y-o-y. Coal output in I ...
Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely avail ...
Monday, 14 July 14
SGX SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 54.80
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 14 July 14
SGX CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 14 LOST 17.29% SINCE EARLY JANUARY 2014
COALspot.com: Coal price falling is continues as the impact oversupply and lower demand. API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q3 drops U ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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