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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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